7. 2605.13388 — Toward a practical handbook for choosing among causal inference methods in non-randomized studies with binary outcomes: A simulation study for applied researchers¶
作者: Adrián Aurensanz-Crespo, Cristóbal M Rodríguez-Leal, Rosario Susi, Jorge Castillo-Mateo, Jesús Asín, José M Ramírez et al.
11. 2605.13504 — Structural identifiability of partially-observed stochastic processes: from single-particle trajectories to total particle density data¶
作者: Arianna Ceccarelli, Alexander P. Browning, Ruth E. Baker
14. 2605.14400 — Partial Identification of the Valuation Distribution in Sequential English Auctions¶
作者: Dongwoo Kim, Kyoo il Kim, Pallavi Pal
相关性: 5/10
摘要: 本文将Hail和Tamer(2003)的静态英式拍卖不完全模型扩展至序贯英式拍卖。由于竞拍者可能等待未来机会,静态模型中‘竞拍者不会让对手以可击败价格获胜’的条件不再成立。作者用动态机会成本限制替代该条件,从而在不求解动态均衡的情况下获得了非参数估值边界,并刻画了尖锐边界。他们提出了一种新颖的矩条件逆估计量,该估计量能汇集具有异质性竞拍者数量的拍卖数据,缓解了次序统计量方法的有限样本不稳定性,并允许解析标准误和平滑置信区间。在韩国批发二手车拍卖和Cars and Bids在线拍卖中的应用得到了信息丰富的边界。反事实分析表明,在韩国市场中,等待的选择权使第一期收入降低了8-11%;在Cars and Bids中,将有效竞争从8个增加到20个严肃竞拍者,卖家收入提高了40-65%;且极大极小保留价在不同车辆集群间差异显著。
American Causal Inference Conference (ACIC) 2026 — 2026-05-11 to 2026-05-14 · Salt Lake City, Utah
Annual meeting organized by the Society for Causal Inference
Keynote: The Categorical Instrumental Variable Model: Characterization, Partial Identification, and Statistical Inference — 2026-04-15 · Thomas Richardson · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
9:00-10:00
Parallel Session: Difference-in-Differences Meets Synthetic Control: Doubly Robust Identification and Estimation — 2026-04-15 · Yuhang Zhang, The Chinese University of Hong Kong · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Session 10:20-11:20
Parallel Session: Omitted Variable Bias in Difference-in-Differences Designs — 2026-04-15 · Juejue Wang, Department of Statistics, University of Washington, USA · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Session 10:20-11:20
Parallel Session: Difference-in-Differences with Time-varying Continuous Treatments Using Double/Debiased Machine Learning — 2026-04-15 · Michel Haddad, Queen Mary University of London, Dept. of Business Analytics and Applied Economics, UK · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Session 10:20-11:20
Parallel Session: Design-Aware Constraint-Based Causal Discovery for Complex Survey Data — 2026-04-15 · Enrico Roma, Research group EPIDERME, Faculty of Medicine, University Paris Est Creteil, France; Department of Statistical Science “Paolo Fortunati”, University of Bologna, Italy · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Session 10:20-11:20
Parallel Session: Coarsening Causal DAG Models — 2026-04-15 · Alex Markham, Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Denmark · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Session 10:20-11:20
Parallel Session: Marginalising graphs after causal discovery — 2026-04-15 · Christine Bang, Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Denmark · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Session 10:20-11:20
Parallel Session: A Design-Based Matching Framework for Staggered Adoption with Time-Varying Confounding — 2026-04-15 · Suehyun Kim, Department of Statistics, Seoul National University, South Korea · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Sessions 11:20-12:20
Parallel Session: A Single World Intervention Simulation approach for informing equitable health policy — 2026-04-15 · Nia Kang, Department of Family Medicine, McGill University, Canada · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Sessions 11:20-12:20
Parallel Session: Right Treatment, Right Patient, Right Time, Wrong Data? Measurement Error and Dynamic Treatment Regimes — 2026-04-15 · Michael Wallace, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Canada · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Sessions 11:20-12:20
Parallel Session: When the Causal Graph is Unknown, Embrace Model Pluralism — 2026-04-15 · Rohit Bhattacharya, Computer Science, Williams College, USA · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Sessions 11:20-12:20
Parallel Session: Causal Invariance and Time Reparameterizations in Block-Structured Dynamical Systems — 2026-04-15 · Tess Baker, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McGill University, Canada · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Sessions 11:20-12:20
Parallel Session: Single-world exchangeability conditions for a large class of regimes — 2026-04-15 · Catharina Stoltenberg, Department of Biostatistics, University of Oslo, Norway · EuroCIM 2026, Oxford, UK
Parallel Sessions 11:20-12:20